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Sports   Mogul   blog

Football Mogul 20: Season Predictions

8/25/2019

5 Comments

 
The following predictions are the results of 10,000 simulations of the 2019 NFL season using Football Mogul 20. Every play of every game is simulated using NFL rules for the 2019 season, as are injuries and trades.
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  • Rosters were updated on August 19, 2019.
  • Super Bowl Champs = frequency with which this team won the Super Bowl.
  • Because of tie games, average team wins equals 7.98 (not 8.00).​
5 Comments
Brandon
8/25/2019 10:56:04 am

I'm stoked to see that sometime in the next 10,000 Super Bowls of this life the Detroit Lions could finally be champs!

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Sam
8/25/2019 06:12:25 pm

Awesome! Maybe the percentage of each team making the playoffs would be cool to have in this table too.

Reply
Ron
8/26/2019 01:38:36 pm

I am curious to know if Andrew Luck was still on the Colts while they were winning the Super Bowl more times than the Bears, Cowboys, Saints, Steelers, Chiefs, Packers and Rams.

And if so, would be interesting to see this rerun to see how their odds drop.

Reply
Clay Dreslough link
8/26/2019 04:09:31 pm

He was indeed. I was a bit surprised to see the Colts doing so well in the sim, but I think the Vegas betting line was 10 games, so Mogul was actually a bit below the conventional wisdom.

Reply
Peter
1/2/2020 05:34:11 am

Good job on this in the main. My Niners certainly threw a spanner in the works though with their 13 wins which was almost double what was predicted as were the Ravens with their 14. Only 4 teams were predicted to have double digit wins though which seems quite low and was certainly proved to be so with 10 making that mark this season. Excellent job on the Cowboys.. most would not have predicted that. Just wish I could get this game to try it out myself.

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